Identifying social bottlenecks for post-Brexit agricultural policy adaptation

Identifying social bottlenecks for post-Brexit agricultural policy adaptation

The current impact assessment models used in design of agricultural policy lack the complexity of decision-making by farmers, as well as ignoring the wider impacts on natural, social, and cultural assets within rural areas. To address this, an EU wide framework is being developed as part of the H2020 BESTMAP (https://bestmap.eu/) project. As the UK transitions out of the EU, EU agricultural policies are being replaced with UK government policy, and DEFRA, who is the partner on this LIDA project, is keen to know how policies are adopted across the UK. The adoption of policies varies between individuals, for a range of different reasons. This project examines the likelihood of a policy adoption in agriculture in general, and in particular focuses on identifying social interaction between farmers which modulate other factors such as ecological conditions, type of farming, and farm income diversification. To do this, we use large spatio-temporal datasets on farm subsidies across England and Wales from the last 10 years. Using this information, spatial and temporal patterns as well as other confounding factors will be identified. The resulting model will help DEFRA in their effort to assess and improve the new post-Brexit agricultural policy adoption.